By Teddy Brenner
According to FiveThirtyEight.com, the Phillies have a 21% chance of making the playoffs.
Their team rating is 1509, up 1 point from last week.
NL East standings
| GAMES BACK | CHANCE TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | CHANCE TO WIN DIVISION | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Braves82-72 | — | 79% | 79% |
 | Phillies81-74 | 1.5 | 21% | 21% |
 | Mets73-81 | 9.0 | — | — |
 | Marlins64-90 | 18.0 | — | — |
 | Nationals64-91 | 18.5 | — | — |
