By Steve Kelly
The Eagles are a 2 1/2-point underdog at Buffalo today, and -120 on the moneyline.
But I like them to cover.
Basically because the Bills aren’t really a 5-1 football team. They’re 21st in DVOA (an efficiency stat) largely because their offense is a fringe bottom-10 unit. Buffalo is 24th in points per drive despite owning an unsustainable, league-leading red zone touchdown percentage (69%).
When that regresses towards league average (55%), they’ll be even worse offensively.
I’m betting against the Bills Offense (except for John Brown) and hoping Carson Wentz (above) can grind for enough points to pull off the upset.
