PHILLIES NOW PROJECT TO 88 WINS, 62% CHANCE OF MAKING PLAYOFFS!

By Melody Miller

FiveThirtyEight.com made its bones predicting elections.

Let’s see how they do on this projection:

AVG. SIMULATED SEASON POSTSEASON CHANCES
TEAM

DIVISION

TEAM RATING

1-WEEK CHANGE

RECORD

RUN DIFF.

MAKE PLAYOFFS

WIN
DIVISION

WIN WORLD SERIES

Dodgers51-29
NL West 1593
+6
102-60 +242 >99% 91% 23%

Yankees58-23
AL East 1587
-1
107-55 +239 >99% 97% 22%

Astros53-27
AL West 1564
+8
103-59 +174 >99% >99% 14%

Braves48-34
NL East 1559
+5
94-68 +116 93% 46% 9%

Mets50-31
NL East 1542
-1
94-68 +95 94% 45% 6%

Brewers47-36
NL Central 1537
91-71 +76 85% 74% 4%

Padres47-36
NL West 1536
-7
91-71 +89 82% 9% 4%

AL East 1540
-9
88-74 +57 74% <1% 4%

Red Sox45-36
AL East 1542
-1
88-74 +78 69% 1% 3%

Twins47-37
AL Central 1525
+2
88-74 +70 75% 58% 3%

PHILLIES 43-38
NL East 1536
+6
88-74 +93 62% 8% 3%

Rays44-37
AL East 1530
+3
87-75 +38 63% <1% 2%

AL Central 1519
84-78 -4 47% 27% 2%

NL Central 1512
-6
86-76 +74 49% 26% 1%

Giants40-39
NL West 1510
-12
82-80 +20 22% <1% <1%

AL Central 1495
-6
81-81 -13 29% 14% <1%

AL West 1505
+8
81-81 +20 25% <1% <1%

Marlins39-40
NL East 1501
+8
79-83 +2 11% <1% <1%

Angels37-45
AL West 1502
-5
77-85 -15 8% <1% <1%

Rangers37-42
AL West 1481
-3
76-86 -11 7% <1% <1%

Orioles38-44
AL East 1458
+1
72-90 -83 1% <1% <1%

NL West 1465
+3
72-90 -89 1% <1% <1%

Cubs33-48
NL Central 1468
+8
69-93 -102 <1% <1% <1%

Tigers33-47
AL Central 1460
+5
69-93 -136 <1% <1% <1%

Rockies35-46
NL West 1455
-3
68-94 -142 <1% <1% <1%

Reds28-52
NL Central 1466
-7
66-96 -130 <1% <1% <1%

Pirates33-47
NL Central 1438
+3
66-96 -184 <1% <1% <1%

Royals29-50
AL Central 1447
+2
63-99 -176 <1% <1% <1%

NL East 1445
-9
60-102 -205 <1% <1% <1%

AL West 1433
+4
59-103 -191 <1% <1% <1%

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