Look for it to be another season of chalk with Alabama, Clemson and Oklahoma each getting through the conference slate in prime position. That leaves one spot for someone to crash the party.

That nod goes to Penn State. Even though the Nittany Lions face a ridiculously tough schedule, most of their key games are at home. Senior quarterback Trace McSorley should be able to make enough plays, and even one loss won’t derail their hopes because of the tough path as long as it ends with a Big Ten title.

A reminder: Some conferences may not fulfill their bowl allotment. Asterisks denote a replacement pick: