Tiger Woods hasn’t played competitively in more than two months. He hasn’t contended in more than 16 months (losing in a playoff to Zach Johnson in the World Challenge) and hasn’t won since August of 2013. The last time he won the Masters? YouTube didn’t even exist yet. This season, meanwhile, has been an unmitigated disaster: He’s played all of 47 holes in competition, missing the cut by a mile in Phoenix and WD’ing after 11 holes at Torrey Pines. So we can all agree, Tiger can’t possibly win the 79th Masters, can he? Of course he can! Here are five reasons why.