We end up with Dallas repeating as the most likely scenario, although our projections might underrate the importance of its defensive losses, because there could be a compound effect from losing so many players at the same position (defensive back).
The Eagles were better than their record in 2016, but our system expects regression to the mean from their defense.
The same goes for the Giants’ defense; but their offense should improve with the addition o fBrandon Marshall.
Washington will have to weather the loss of two starting receivers and an offensive coordinator, but the Redskins are still more likely to be an average team than a bad one:
http://www.espn.com/nfl/insider/story/_/id/19097144/football-outsiders-early-2017-nfl-projections
