By Sally Fahey
Here is how each team ranks through Week 9 of the 2020 season, according to our quarterback-adjusted predictions, according to FiveThirtyEight.com:
CHANCE TO … | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | TEAM | STARTING QB | QB RK* | ELO RATING | PROJ. RECORD | MAKE PLAYOFFS | WIN DIV. | WIN SB |
1 | Chiefs | Mahomes | 1 | 1735 | 13-3 | >99% | 92% | 24% |
2 | Saints | Brees | 3 | 1668 | 12-4 | 96 | 80 | 14 |
3 | Ravens | Jackson | 7 | 1659 | 12-4 | 95 | 20 | 7 |
4 | Steelers | R’lisberger✚ | 9 | 1638 | 14-2 | >99 | 78 | 15 |
5 | Packers | Rodgers | 5 | 1628 | 12-4 | 96 | 81 | 9 |
6 | Seahawks | Wilson | 4 | 1617 | 11-5 | 93 | 60 | 8 |
7 | Bills | Allen | 8 | 1607 | 11-5 | 94 | 87 | 4 |
8 | Bucs | Brady | 16 | 1593 | 10-6 | 80 | 20 | 5 |
9 | Titans | Tannehill | 11 | 1578 | 11-5 | 83 | 70 | 2 |
10 | Rams | Goff | 15 | 1558 | 9-7 | 63 | 20 | 2 |
11 | Cardinals | Murray | 2 | 1554 | 9-7 | 63 | 19 | 2 |
12 | Colts | Rivers | 18 | 1551 | 9-7 | 48 | 29 | 1 |
13 | Raiders | Carr | 10 | 1548 | 10-6 | 62 | 8 | 1 |
14 | 49ers | Mullens | 29 | 1519 | 7-9 | 17 | 2 | <1 |
15 | Bears | Foles | 22 | 1517 | 9-7 | 57 | 16 | 1 |
16 | Browns | Mayfield✚ | 24 | 1515 | 10-6 | 56 | 2 | <1 |
17 | Vikings | Cousins | 23 | 1510 | 7-9 | 24 | 2 | <1 |
18 | Falcons | Ryan | 12 | 1506 | 6-10 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
19 | Patriots | Newton | 19 | 1505 | 7-9 | 12 | 2 | <1 |
20 | Dolphins | Tagovailoa | 27 | 1485 | 9-7 | 38 | 11 | <1 |
21 | Broncos | Lock | 28 | 1484 | 6-10 | 6 | <1 | <1 |
22 | EAGLES | WENTZ | 25 | 1483 | 7-8-1 | 71 | 71 | <1 |
23 | Chargers | Herbert | 13 | 1456 | 5-11 | 1 | <1 | <1 |
24 | Texans | Watson | 6 | 1449 | 5-11 | 3 | 1 | <1 |
25 | Panthers | Bridgewater | 14 | 1431 | 6-10 | 3 | <1 | <1 |
26 | Bengals | Burrow | 20 | 1430 | 5-10-1 | 2 | <1 | <1 |
27 | Wash. | Smith | 21 | 1410 | 5-11 | 17 | 16 | <1 |
28 | Lions | Stafford✚ | 17 | 1400 | 6-10 | 5 | <1 | <1 |
29 | Giants | Jones | 26 | 1367 | 4-12 | 7 | 7 | <1 |
30 | Cowboys | Dalton✚ | 31 | 1316 | 4-12 | 6 | 6 | <1 |
31 | Jets | Darnold✚ | 30 | 1296 | 2-14 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
32 | Jaguars | Luton | 32 | 1208 | 2-14 | <1 | <1 | <1 |