By Skip Charles in Vegas

The Bucs haven’t exactly shined in prime time.

Tampa Bay  (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) hasn’t covered the spread in seven straight games under the lights. The Bucs might have a tough time breaking that streak as a touchdown favorite over the Eagles (2-3, 2-3), who are 5-2 ATS in their last seven as a home underdog.

Tampa Bay was quickly bet up to a 7-point road favorite, but it seems unlikely that the point spread will move across the key number to -7.5. Philly has been a home underdog of more than a touchdown just eight times since 1995, going 7-1 ATS in those contests.

The Eagles defense enjoyed a bounce-back performance last week in Carolina, forcing three turnovers and recording three sacks to key a 21-18 victory over the Panthers. Philadelphia allowed just 267 total yards, looking a lot more like the unit that has held opponents to 18 points or less in three of its five games than the one that was torched for 83 points and 851 yards combined in losses to Dallas and Kansas City. On the season, the Eagles rank third in the NFL against the pass, allowing 194.8 yards per game.

The strong defensive effort bought time for quarterback Jalen Hurts and the offense, which shook off an ugly first half to record a pair of fourth-quarter touchdowns. Hurts ran for both majors and continues to be the Eagles’ top running threat, leading the team with 256 yards on 43 carries.

Don’t be surprised if we see Philly’s defense lead the way once again on a short week, especially at Lincoln Financial Field. The Eagles have gone UNDER the total in 13 of their last 17 home games, and they have also gone UNDER in seven of their last eight prime-time contests.

8:20 PM ET, THU OCT 14
-7
+7
71%
29%
52.5
9:30 AM ET, SUN OCT 17
-3.5
+3.5
43%
57%
47
1:00 PM ET, SUN OCT 17
-4.5
+4.5
73%
27%
44.5
1:00 PM ET, SUN OCT 17
+10
-10
65%
35%
43
1:00 PM ET, SUN OCT 17
-6.5
+6.5
86%
14%
55.5
1:00 PM ET, SUN OCT 17
-9.5
+9.5
91%
9%
48.5
1:00 PM ET, SUN OCT 17
-3.5
+3.5
74%
26%
47.5
1:00 PM ET, SUN OCT 17
+3
-3
85%
15%
52
1:00 PM ET, SUN OCT 17
-1
+1
56%
44%
46
4:05 PM ET, SUN OCT 17
+3
-3
60%
40%
49.5
4:25 PM ET, SUN OCT 17
+3.5
-3.5
49%
51%
44
4:25 PM ET, SUN OCT 17
-3.5
+3.5
88%
12%
51.5
8:20 PM ET, SUN OCT 17
+5
-5
39%
61%
42.5
8:15 PM ET, MON OCT 18
-5.5
+5.5
90%
10%
54
8:20 PM ET, THU OCT 21
+6
-6
5%
95%
44.5