By Mark Gallagher

So, what chance do the Eagles really have to get to the Super Bowl and win it?

ESPN has an idea for the Birds, who play the Seahawks in the wild-card round Sunday at the Linc at 4:40 p.m. ET on NBC.

Chance to make the Super Bowl: 4.8%

Quarterback Carson Wentz pulled off quite a feat in leading the Eagles into the playoffs after a 5-7 start. In fact, he became the first quarterback in NFL history to throw for at least 4,000 yards without a single wide receiver who finished the season with at least 500 receiving yards. Such was the revolving personnel door Wentz and the Eagles dealt with, one caused mostly by injuries.

The Eagles finished up a Week 17 win over the Giants without their top three wideouts, their No. 1 tight end, their top two running backs and right tackle Lane Johnson. Playing at home is preferable to being on the road, but next weekend’s starting lineup might well look more like what we would see for a preseason game than in the postseason.

Tight end Dallas Goedert (above) has the responsibility for replacing Zach Ertz (ribs, kidney) and preserving the Eagles’ tight end-centric offense falls on Goedert. He was targeted on a team-high 10 passes in Week 17, catching four for 65 yards. It is hard to imagine the Eagles advancing without an Ertz-like performance from Goedert.

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