By Michael Bennett
Sunday’s Super Bowl between the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers is one of huge contrasts:
Patrick Mahomes vs. Jimmy Garoppolo.
Passing vs. rushing.
Offense vs. defense.
Legendary barbecue vs. legendary burritos.
Here’s the FiveThirtyWight.com breakdown, with adjustments for each starting quarterback:
|KANSAS CITY||CATEGORY||SAN FRANCISCO|
|Patrick Mahomes||Starting QB||Jimmy Garoppolo|
|2nd||QB Elo rank||23rd|
|3rd||QB’s supporting cast||1st|
|5th||Avg. QB Elo defense||7th|
The Chiefs are the superior team on paper, coming into the game ranked first in Elo by a healthy margin. Long gone are the days of Kansas City relying on recycled 49er QBs to lead the charge — it now has Mahomes, who currently rates higher relative to a league-average starter (+119) than any other quarterback in franchise history. His rating is much higher than that of Garoppolo, about whom Elo remains very much unsure despite San Francisco’s great season.