By Mike Caputo
The Eagles opened as 8-point home favorites over the Giants, before a slight consensus uptick to Philly -8.5 as they cling to playoff aspirations.
As they tee it up at the Linc tonight, they are 9 1/2-pt. faves.
New York’s moneyline opened at +345 and the point total at 46.5, but most books bumped it up to 47. The total has gone over in six of the last seven Giants-Eagles matchups with an average combined score of 52.43.
The Giants are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games. Granted, most of the games were played while Eli Manning was still the starter, but New York is 2-9 straight up and 5-5-1 against the spread in its last 11 games as a road dog of 7 or more points. Daniel Jones failed to cover +16.5 at New England earlier this season.
The Birds are 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS this season as a home favorite of 7 or more points and 9-1 SU (7-3 ATS) in the last 10 in that situation. The Eagles are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games after failing to cover in their two most recent home contests.
The Giants have now lost eight straight by an average of 12.38 points per defeat.
Running back Saquon Barkley hasn’t scored a rushing touchdown since October 20 and since spraining his ankle against the Buccaneers in late September, he has rushed for better than 4.0 yards per carry only once.
New York’s statistical resume is even worse on the defensive side of the ball as one of the league’s worst secondaries continues to get torched. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 67.4 percent of their passes against the Giants, the sixth-highest rate in the league. New York has allowed 28.2 points per game this season and 28.0 points per game over its last three losses.
The Eagles’ primary problem heading into Week 13 was its lack of offense, but the problem heading out of Miami was its leaky secondary.
Philly averaged 13.3 points per game in Weeks 9 (win) and 11-12 (losses). Carson Wentz took full advantage of the Dolphins’ league-worst scoring defense and lit ‘em up for 31 points via 310 passing yards and three touchdowns. On the ground, Miles Sanders stepped up in Jordan Howard’s absence to rush 17 times for 83 yards. Philly converted 50 percent of its third downs and three of four trips to the red zone.
Coordinator Mike Groh – who may be fired this offseason – watched his offense dismantle a less talented defense. If he wants to improve his chances of returning for 2020, Groh will need Wentz and the offense to unload on the Giants’ bottom-tier defense, too.
It’s one thing to not cover -10.5 at Miami in early December, but it’s quite another to let Ryan Fitzpatrick torch you for 365 yards and three touchdowns. To put into context just how bad the Eagles defense was against the Dolphins, here are season-to-date splits compared to Week 14’s loss:
|Stat Category||Season-to-Date||Week 14 vs MIA|
|Yards Allowed Per Game||332||409|
|Yards Allowed Per Play||5.5||6.5|
|Pass Yards Allowed Per Game||241.7||351|
|Opp. 3rd Down Conversion Rate||36.6||41.7|
|Opp. Red Zone Conversion Rate||61.1%||100% (4-for-4)|
On the injury front, Jordan Howard missed the Dolphins game due to a shoulder injury and is questionable tonight against the Giants. Cornerback Sidney Jones is also questionable with an undisclosed ailment.