By Julie Glass

It’s been 14 years since the U. S. Open was played at Long Island’s Shinnecock Hills, where it opens this Thursday.

And with the notable exception of Tiger Woods, who finished +10 back in 2004, the leaderboard was littered with pre-tournament favorites at the end of four rounds. Retief Goosen won his second Open title, shooting 276 (-4) over four rounds; Phil Mickelson finished runner-up and was the only other player under par (-2); and Mike Weir, Fred Funk, and Ernie Els were all in the top-10.

The 1995 edition was similar, with Corey Pavin’s even par 280 besting Greg Norman (+2), Tom Lehman (+3), Davis Love III and Mickelson (both +4).

The course is tough, and when it comes to picking out which golfers will outlast the vast Open field, look to the upper echelon.

The course also plays nearly 500 yards longer today than it did in 2004, so big hitters may have an edge.

The current odds at Bovada have the following top 20 betting faves:

1. Dustin Johnson: +1100
2. Rory McIlroy: +1200
T3. Jordan Spieth: +1400
T3. Jason Day: +1400
T3. Justin Thomas: +1400
T3. Justin Rose: +1400
T7. Rickie Fowler: +1600
T7. Tiger Woods: +1600
T9. Jon Rahm: +2000
T9. Brooks Koepka: +2000
T11. Hideki Matsuyama: +2800
T11. Phil Mickelson: +2800
13. Henrik Stenson: +3300
T14. Patrick Reed: +4000
T14. Sergio Garcia: +4000
T14. Tommy Fleetwood: +4000
T14. Bryson Dechambeau: +4000
T14. Branden Grace: +4000
T19. Bubba Watson: +5000
T19. Paul Casey: +5000
T19. Alex Noren: +5000