So says USA Today:

7. Phillies

What they did: Traded for catcher Wilson Ramos (above), infielder Asdrubal Cabrera and reliever Aaron Loup.

What they didn’t do: Add rotation depth for a starting quintet that may run out of gas.

Why they could win it all: A winnable division, a legitimate playoff ace in Aaron Nola and power arms in the bullpen. On paper, the Phillies don’t match up with the Dodgers or Cubs. But should they avoid the wild card, it’s easy to imagine Nola toppling a Clayton Kershaw or Jon Lester and immediately shifting the tenor of the playoffs.

Why they could fall short: Are they ahead of schedule? While Carlos Santana and Jake Arrieta add World Series gravitas, the Phillies are young and untested in many spots, particularly the bullpen.

Consensus: They will have to hold off an aggressive Braves club and a not-quitting Nationals squad down the stretch. But if Nola is rested and ready for a Game 1, they could make a lot of noise: