By Michael Donovan
The Eagles are at Cincy tomorrow for a must-win game against the Eagles, and here is some betting guidance:
The public is split on this game, which is to be expected with it lined around pick ’em.
When this line first opened last Sunday afternoon, early sharps actually bet Philly from -1 to -2.5 at the Westgate, but the change of favorites is more due to the Eagles losing on Monday night than to an influx of sharp money on Cincinnati.
This is truly a toss-up, with both teams pretty much playing out the string (though the Eagles can still get in wild-card contention), so in these situations games tend to turn into sandlot-shootout-type contests.
If you’re judging the Birds on a yards per play basis, the Eagles haven’t been good, especially recently, averaging 5.28 yards per play on offense while giving up 5.68. As predicted, Carson Wentz started throwing interceptions, but one area the Eagles have remained lucky on offense is fumble luck (they’ve fumbled 20 times, but recovered 15 of them). Cincinnati has struggled mightily on offense the past three weeks, averaging fewer than 5.0 yards per play in all three games.
Prediction: EAGLES 21, Cincinnati 20
The pick: EAGLES — PHI +1